Calendar
Scheduled economic and political events that can move prediction markets, with the markets each one could move and their current odds. All times in UTC.
Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | BG | 2026 Bulgarian presidential electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | US | Federal Funds Rate | High impact |
Thursday, 29 Oct 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index m/m | High impact | |
| 13:15 | EU | Main Refinancing Rate | High impact |
Friday, 30 Oct 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | JP | BOJ Policy Rate | High impact |
Sunday, 1 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | BG | 2026 Bulgarian presidential election (second round)PoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Tuesday, 3 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | US | US midterm electionsPoliticalAll 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are on the ballot. | High impact |
Wednesday, 4 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | IL | Israel: official election results duePoliticalThe Central Elections Committee publishes the final Knesset results by 4 Nov. The exit polls showed no clear winner, so the final seat count decides who President Herzog can task with forming a government. | High impact |
Thursday, 5 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | UK | Bank of England interest rate decisionMPC decision at 12:00 UK time. Bank Rate is 3.75%. | High impact |
Friday, 6 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | US | US jobs report (October)Employment Situation for October: payrolls and unemployment rate. 8:30 AM ET. | High impact |
Saturday, 7 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | NZ | 2026 New Zealand general electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Tuesday, 10 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | IL | Israel: new Knesset's first sitting (deadline)PoliticalThe 26th Knesset must hold its first sitting within 14 days of election day, so by 10 Nov. | Medium impact | |
| 13:30 | US | US CPI inflation (October)BLS Consumer Price Index for October. 8:30 AM ET. | High impact |
Wednesday, 11 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | IL | Israel: President Herzog must name who forms the government (deadline)PoliticalWithin 7 days of the official results the President consults the parties and gives one MK the task of forming a government (by 11 Nov if results come on 4 Nov). The candidate gets 28 days, extendable by 14. It need not be the leader of the largest party. | High impact | |
| All day | TR | COP31 World Leaders' Summit (Antalya)Political11-12 Nov. Leaders' segment of the UN climate conference (COP31 runs 9-20 Nov). | High impact |
Monday, 16 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | PH | ASEAN Summit and East Asia Summit (Manila)Political16-18 Nov. Trump is due to attend on 16 Nov before flying to APEC in China. | High impact |
Wednesday, 18 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | CN | APEC Leaders' Meeting (Shenzhen)Political18-19 Nov. Putin plans to attend in person; a Putin-Xi-Trump meeting has been floated but not confirmed. | High impact |
Saturday, 28 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | TW | 2026 Taiwanese local electionsPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | Medium impact |
Sunday, 29 Nov 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | ES | 2026 Spanish general electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Saturday, 5 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | GM | 2026 Gambian presidential electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Sunday, 6 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | GW | 2026 Guinea-Bissau general electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Wednesday, 9 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | US | Fed interest rate decision (FOMC)Decision at 2:00 PM ET, press conference at 2:30 PM ET. Includes new projections and the dot plot. | High impact |
Friday, 11 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | US | US government funding deadline (shutdown risk)PoliticalThe stopgap law (H.R. 6500) funds the government through 11 Dec; a lapse would start at 12:01 AM ET on 12 Dec. It falls in the lame-duck session, right after the midterms. | High impact |
Monday, 14 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | US | G20 Leaders' Summit (Miami)Political14-15 Dec. At Trump National Doral. Putin has been invited; the Kremlin hasn't decided. | High impact |
Thursday, 17 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | UK | Bank of England interest rate decisionMPC decision at 12:00 UK time. The December Polymarket market usually opens after the November decision. | High impact | |
| 13:15 | EU | ECB interest rate decisionGoverning Council meets 16-17 Dec. Rate decision at 14:15 Frankfurt time, press conference follows. | High impact |
Friday, 18 Dec 2026
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | JP | Bank of Japan interest rate decisionTwo-day policy meeting ends 18 Dec. | High impact |
Sunday, 3 Jan 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | US | 120th Congress convenes: House elects the SpeakerPoliticalThe new Congress is sworn in at noon ET. The House votes for Speaker on opening day, so the midterm result sets who has the votes. | High impact |
Wednesday, 27 Jan 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | US | Fed interest rate decision (FOMC)Decision at 2:00 PM ET, press conference at 2:30 PM ET. | High impact |
Saturday, 30 Jan 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | DE | 2027 German presidential electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Sunday, 28 Feb 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | SV | 2027 Salvadoran legislative electionPoliticalDate not confirmed: Wikidata gives the end of the month, probably the latest legal date. Date from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Sunday, 7 Mar 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | EE | next Estonian parliamentary electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Sunday, 18 Apr 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | FR | 2027 French presidential electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Sunday, 2 May 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | FR | 2027 French presidential election (second round)PoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Wednesday, 30 Jun 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | GR | 2027 Greek parliamentary electionPoliticalDate not confirmed: Wikidata gives the end of the month, probably the latest legal date. Date from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Saturday, 11 Sep 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | PS | next Palestinian legislative electionPoliticalAlso: next Palestinian presidential election. Date from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Thursday, 30 Sep 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | IT | 2027 Italian Chamber of Deputies electionPoliticalDate not confirmed: Wikidata gives the end of the month, probably the latest legal date. Also: 2027 Italian Senate election; 2027 Italian parliamentary election. Date from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
Sunday, 24 Oct 2027
| Time (UTC) | Country | Event | Impact | Markets it could move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All day | AR | 2027 Argentine general electionPoliticalDate from Wikidata (volunteer-edited): check the official election body. | High impact |
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Economic events from ForexFactory’s public calendar (this week). Upcoming elections from civicAPI (US) and Wikidata (worldwide; dates can change); summits and other political events are added by predictionwave. Odds from Polymarket at the last update (2026-10-28 16:10 UTC).