Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Odds, price jumps explained, and what could move it next
Yes at 0% on 3 Nov 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Bank of England will decrease its interest rates by 25 basis points following its Monetary Policy Committee meeting on November 5, 2026. The market resolves based on the official announcement and rate change data released by the Bank of England.
As of November 3, 2026, financial markets and industry surveys indicate that the Bank of England is widely anticipated to raise interest rates rather than decrease them during this week's meeting, with major lenders continuing to adjust their mortgage rates.
Key factors heading into the November 5 meeting include persistent inflation pressures and market expectations of a rate hike, with the official decision scheduled to be published directly on the Bank of England calendar.
Sources: Reuters: Sterling steady as traders await BoE, nervously watch midterms, This is Money: Nationwide, Barclays and Halifax cut mortgage rates despite Bank of England set to raise interest rates this week, MoneyWeek: Poll: Do you think the Bank of England should raise interest rates?, The Times: Bank of England ‘must raise interest rates’ to tackle inflation, Mortgage Professional America: Two-thirds of brokers expect the BoE to raise rates on Thursday, WSJ: BOE Expected to Join Peers in Raising Key Rate
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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5 Nov 2026
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Meeting
The Bank of England will release its official statement and decision on interest rates following the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting, directly determining the outcome of this market.
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5 Nov 2026
Bank of England Rate Decision Release
The official release scheduled on the Bank of England calendar will provide the definitive rate change relative to the prior level, resolving the market immediately upon publication.
Source: Mortgage Professional America: Two-thirds of brokers expect the BoE to raise rates on Thursday, WSJ: BOE Expected to Join Peers in Raising Key Rate, FXStreet: The British Pound heads into a Bank of England hike priced well beyond this one
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Other markets in “Bank of England decision in November?”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting”?
On 3 Nov 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Meeting (5 Nov 2026); Bank of England Rate Decision Release (5 Nov 2026). Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 5 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.