Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Yes at 0% on 29 Oct 2026, down 1 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Bank of England will increase its Bank Rate by 50 basis points or more following its Monetary Policy Committee meeting on November 5, 2026. The market resolves based on the official decision announced by the Bank of England.
Recent news highlights that the UK Budget has left pressure on the Bank of England regarding potential interest rate hikes, with markets closely watching the upcoming monetary policy decision as global central banks navigate inflation and economic data.
The crucial date to watch is November 5, 2026, when the Monetary Policy Committee is scheduled to release its official statement and rate decision.
Sources: Bloomberg.com: UK Budget Does Little to Ease Pressure on BOE for Rate Hikes, Financial Times: Bank of England able to take UK Budget in its stride despite slippage in deficit reduction, Mortgage Professional America: What the UK Budget means for the mortgage industry, BBC: What we now know about the UK economy in four charts, Sky News: US makes interest rate decision - as Bank of England verdict looms, MKFM: US Federal Reserve holds interest rates - ahead of possible Bank of England hike
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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Other markets in “Bank of England decision in November?”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was down 1 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 5 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.