Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

Odds, price jumps explained, and what could move it next

Yes at 73% on 7 Nov 2026, up 9 pts over the previous 7 days. 2 big jumps since 6 Nov 2026, listed below.

Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.

Context

This prediction market asks whether a new White House Press Secretary will be officially announced by December 31, 2026, to replace current Press Secretary Katie Zacharia. It resolves to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration makes such an announcement before the deadline, while acting or interim appointments do not count.

Recent reports indicate that President Donald Trump has publicly stated he offered the position of White House Press Secretary to UFC CEO Dana White, urging him to take the job. However, media outlets have offered conflicting reports regarding Dana White's actual interest in accepting the role, and it remains uncertain whether he will take the position.

Sources: Mediaite: Trump Reportedly Meeting Dana White to Discuss Job Offer, The Jerusalem Post: 'Please take the job': Trump offers UFC CEO Dana White position of White House Press Secretary, CT Insider: Trump asks Manchester native Dana White to be his press secretary, Us Weekly: President Donald Trump Begs UFC’s Dana White to Be the Next Press Secretary: ‘Please Take the Job!’, LAist: Trump says he’s asked UFC’s Dana White to be his press secretary. No one will say if he’s joking, AlterNet: Trump accused of embarrassing mix-up with insane new job offer, CP24: Trump offers UFC boss Dana White press secretary role, NewsNation: Trump offers White House press secretary job to UFC CEO Dana White, CBS News: Trump says he offered UFC CEO Dana White the White House press secretary role, RFI: Trump taps UFC boss as press secretary, urges criminal probes into Democrats, Yahoo Sports: Who are the 'assistants' Donald Trump wants to aid Dana White, The Washington Post: Trump says he offered White House press secretary role to UFC’s Dana White, Nacionale: How much does the White House press secretary make? What the latest salary report shows, Yahoo: Is Dana White the new White House Press Secretary? Donald Trump offers role, Awful Announcing: CNN, TMZ offer conflicting reports on Dana White’s interest in press secretary job

Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.

What could move it next

  1. Any time before December 31, 2026

    Dana White Acceptance or Rejection

    High impact

    Dana White could publicly accept or decline the offered White House Press Secretary position, which would heavily impact the likelihood of a formal announcement before the end of the year.

    Source: Mediaite: Trump Reportedly Meeting Dana White to Discuss Job Offer, The Jerusalem Post: 'Please take the job': Trump offers UFC CEO Dana White position of White House Press Secretary, Us Weekly: President Donald Trump Begs UFC’s Dana White to Be the Next Press Secretary: ‘Please Take the Job!’, NewsNation: Trump offers White House press secretary job to UFC CEO Dana White, Awful Announcing: CNN, TMZ offer conflicting reports on Dana White’s interest in press secretary job

  2. Any time before December 31, 2026

    Official White House Announcement

    High impact

    The Trump administration could issue an official statement or hold a briefing confirming a new permanent Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia, resolving the market to Yes.

Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.

Price jumps explained

  1. 7 Nov 2026

    Press Secretary Transition Expected

    65% → 77%Likely cause

    Sources reported that Katie Zacharia is transitioning out of her role as press secretary. This news contributed to a higher probability that a new press secretary will be announced by the deadline.

    Sources: ABC7 Bay Area: Katie Zacharia 'transitioning out' of press secretary role, sources tell ABC News

    After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.

  2. 6 Nov 2026

    Press Secretary Bar Exam Report

    70% → 60%Likely cause

    An article published on November 5, 2026, reported that White House press secretary Katie Zacharia stated she did not pass the bar exam. Another article published the same day mentioned Karoline Leavitt.

    Sources: ABC30 Fresno: White House press secretary Katie Zacharia says she did not pass bar exam, Britannica: Karoline Leavitt

    After 24 h: reverted. After 7 days: too early.

Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.

Other markets in “Next Press Secretary announced by...?”

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026”?

On 7 Nov 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 73%, which means they saw about a 73 in 100 chance. That was up 9 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.

Why did the odds move recently?

The latest explained move was on 7 Nov 2026, from 65% to 77%: Press Secretary Transition Expected. Sources reported that Katie Zacharia is transitioning out of her role as press secretary. This news contributed to a higher probability that a new press secretary will be announced by the deadline. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 2).

What could change the odds next?

Coming up: Dana White Acceptance or Rejection; Official White House Announcement. Details are under “What could move it next”.

Do big jumps in this market usually hold?

Of the 1 big jump old enough to check, 0 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.

When does this market end?

Polymarket lists 1 Jan 2027 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.

Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?

No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.

How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.