Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Odds, price jumps explained, and what could move it next
Yes at 41% on 7 Nov 2026, up 6 pts over the previous 7 days. 4 big jumps since 20 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Trump administration will announce a new permanent White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by November 30, 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if an official announcement or credible consensus reporting confirms the choice within this timeframe, while acting or interim appointments do not qualify.
Recent reports indicate that President Donald Trump has publicly offered the position to UFC CEO Dana White, though questions remain among observers regarding whether the offer is serious.
Sources: TheGrio: Trump offers UFC boss Dana White White House press secretary job, but is he serious?, NBC News: Trump offers press secretary position to UFC head Dana White, Reuters: Trump says he wants UFC chief Dana White for White House press secretary, The Jerusalem Post: 'Please take the job': Trump offers UFC CEO Dana White position of White House Press Secretary, CT Insider: Trump asks Manchester native Dana White to be his press secretary, Us Weekly: President Donald Trump Begs UFC’s Dana White to Be the Next Press Secretary: ‘Please Take the Job!’, LAist: Trump says he’s asked UFC’s Dana White to be his press secretary. No one will say if he’s joking, NewsNation: Trump offers White House press secretary job to UFC CEO Dana White, CBS News: Trump says he offered UFC CEO Dana White the White House press secretary role, RFI: Trump taps UFC boss as press secretary, urges criminal probes into Democrats, 411Mania.: Donald Trump Offers Dana White Press Secretary Post, UFC President Reacts, Yahoo Sports: Who are the 'assistants' Donald Trump wants to aid Dana White, The Washington Post: Trump says he offered White House press secretary role to UFC’s Dana White, Nacionale: How much does the White House press secretary make? What the latest salary report shows, Yahoo: Is Dana White the new White House Press Secretary? Donald Trump offers role
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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Any time before November 30, 2026
Dana White Decision
Dana White could officially accept or decline the reported offer from President Donald Trump to become the next White House Press Secretary. An acceptance and formal white house announcement would resolve the market to Yes, while a flat rejection or withdrawal of interest would push the odds toward No.
Source: TheGrio: Trump offers UFC boss Dana White White House press secretary job, but is he serious?, NBC News: Trump offers press secretary position to UFC head Dana White, Reuters: Trump says he wants UFC chief Dana White for White House press secretary, The Jerusalem Post: 'Please take the job': Trump offers UFC CEO Dana White position of White House Press Secretary, CT Insider: Trump asks Manchester native Dana White to be his press secretary, Us Weekly: President Donald Trump Begs UFC’s Dana White to Be the Next Press Secretary: ‘Please Take the Job!’, LAist: Trump says he’s asked UFC’s Dana White to be his press secretary. No one will say if he’s joking, NewsNation: Trump offers White House press secretary job to UFC CEO Dana White, CBS News: Trump says he offered UFC CEO Dana White the White House press secretary role, RFI: Trump taps UFC boss as press secretary, urges criminal probes into Democrats, 411Mania.: Donald Trump Offers Dana White Press Secretary Post, UFC President Reacts, Yahoo Sports: Who are the 'assistants' Donald Trump wants to aid Dana White, The Washington Post: Trump says he offered White House press secretary role to UFC’s Dana White, Yahoo: Is Dana White the new White House Press Secretary? Donald Trump offers role, Awful Announcing: CNN, TMZ offer conflicting reports on Dana White’s interest in press secretary job
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Any time before November 30, 2026
Trump Administration Official Announcement
The Trump administration could issue an official statement or hold a press briefing confirming a permanent successor to Katie Zacharia. If a permanent replacement is formally named before the deadline, the market will resolve to Yes.
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Any time before November 30, 2026
Interim or Acting Appointment Clarification
The administration could announce an individual specifically designated as an acting or interim press secretary. According to the rules, such an appointment does not qualify toward market resolution, which would keep the market at No unless a permanent appointment follows.
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Any time before November 30, 2026
Consensus of Credible Reporting
In the absence of a direct White House announcement, a consistent consensus among credible news organizations regarding a newly selected permanent press secretary could be used as the primary resolution source, pushing the market to Yes.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
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7 Nov 2026
Trump Offers Press Secretary Job to UFC's Dana White
The chance of a new White House Press Secretary being announced rose after reports that Donald Trump asked UFC CEO Dana White to take the job. However, subsequent coverage noted that White rejected the request, while other reports highlighted conflicting information regarding his interest.
Sources: Us Weekly: President Donald Trump Begs UFC’s Dana White to Be the Next Press Secretary: ‘Please Take the Job!’, LAist: Trump says he’s asked UFC’s Dana White to be his press secretary. No one will say if he’s joking, F4W/WON: Donald Trump appears to offer UFC president Dana White press secretary role, NewsNation: Trump offers White House press secretary job to UFC CEO Dana White, AOL.com: Dana White rejects Donald Trump request to become White House Press Secretary, CBS News: Trump says he offered UFC CEO Dana White the White House press secretary role, RFI: Trump taps UFC boss as press secretary, urges criminal probes into Democrats, 411Mania.: Donald Trump Offers Dana White Press Secretary Post, UFC President Reacts, Yahoo Sports: Who are the 'assistants' Donald Trump wants to aid Dana White, The Washington Post: Trump says he offered White House press secretary role to UFC’s Dana White, Nacionale: How much does the White House press secretary make? What the latest salary report shows, The Sporting Base: Dana White Offered White House Press Secretary Job by Trump, Yahoo: Is Dana White the new White House Press Secretary? Donald Trump offers role, RadarOnline: Donald Trump Offers UFC's Dana White White House Press Secretary Role, Awful Announcing: CNN, TMZ offer conflicting reports on Dana White’s interest in press secretary job
After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.
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7 Nov 2026
Katie Zacharia Transitioning Out of Press Secretary Role
The chance of a new press secretary being announced rose after sources reported that Katie Zacharia is transitioning out of her role. Additional reports detailed changes in White House leadership surrounding Susie Wiles and Stephen Miller.
Sources: ABC7 Bay Area: Katie Zacharia 'transitioning out' of press secretary role, sources tell ABC News, Newsweek: Stephen Miller takes over Trump White House as Susie Wiles shifts roles, NPR: Stephen Miller will replace Susie Wiles as Trump's chief of staff
After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.
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3 Nov 2026
Trump Campaign Staffs Up Press Team
The chance of a new White House Press Secretary being announced increased after reports emerged that the Trump campaign is staffing up its press team as public impeachment hearings are set to begin. Additional coverage also discussed potential replacements for the role following the short tenure of Katie Zacharia.
Sources: The Sun: Meet the CNN commentator leading pack to replace Karoline Leavitt, The Tide: Katie Zacharia hired, fired from position as White House Press Secretary, ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos: Trump campaign staffs-up press team as public impeachment hearings set to begin
After 24 h: reverted. After 7 days: too early.
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20 Oct 2026
Drop in Market Odds for New Press Secretary
The probability that a new White House Press Secretary would be announced fell from 52% to 42%. Reports noted that former press secretary Katie Zacharia had already left her position after a short tenure.
Sources: The New York Times: Late Night Sends Off Trump’s Press Secretary After Just Five Days, New York Post: Ex-White House press secretary Katie Zacharia flaunts six-pack in sunny SoCal after firing
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: held.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Other markets in “Next Press Secretary announced by...?”
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Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026”?
On 7 Nov 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 41%, which means they saw about a 41 in 100 chance. That was up 6 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
Why did the odds move recently?
The latest explained move was on 7 Nov 2026, from 35% to 46%: Trump Offers Press Secretary Job to UFC's Dana White. The chance of a new White House Press Secretary being announced rose after reports that Donald Trump asked UFC CEO Dana White to take the job. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 4).
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Dana White Decision; Trump Administration Official Announcement; Interim or Acting Appointment Clarification. Details are under “What could move it next”.
Do big jumps in this market usually hold?
Of the 2 big jumps old enough to check, 1 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 1 Dec 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.