Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
Yes at 9% on 29 Oct 2026, down 1 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be the President of Russia by June 30, 2027. It will resolve to "Yes" if he is removed from office, resigns, is detained, or is permanently prevented from fulfilling his duties before the deadline, based on official information or credible reporting.
Recent reports focus on international diplomatic contacts and statements involving Putin, including discussions held by the leaders of Norway and Finland, as well as comments from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Additionally, news coverage highlights the Kremlin ruling out an imminent trilateral summit between Putin, Donald Trump, and Zelenskyy.
Other notable topics in recent reports include Putin praising Elon Musk as a genius and discussions surrounding Russia's foreign ties at a summit. The market remains open until July 1, 2027.
Sources: The Kyiv Independent: Zelensky backs Norway-Finland talks with Putin, says Trump already ended Russia's isolation, Reuters: Norway's premier says call with Putin was effort to present European views, The Moscow Times: Norwegian Prime Minister Defends Phone Call With Vladimir Putin, POLITICO.eu: Zelenskyy defends leaders of Finland and Norway over Putin talks, News4JAX: Putin seeks to expand ties with African countries at Russia-Africa summit, Newsweek: Putin Test Fires Nuclear-Capable Missile Amid Dispute Over NATO Phone Call, The Straits Times: Putin salutes Musk’s genius as Russia plays catch-up with Starlink, Українські Національні Новини (УНН): Putin called Elon Musk a "genius" after his criticism of Zelenskyy and said he was in contact with the billionaire, صوت الإمارات: The Kremlin rules out an imminent trilateral summit between Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy, The Sunday Guardian: Russia-Ukraine War Latest News: Putin Praises Elon Musk As A ‘Genius’; Zelensky Announces Joint Air Defence Project with the Netherlands
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 9%, which means they saw about a 9 in 100 chance. That was down 1 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 1 Jul 2027 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.