Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

Odds, price jumps explained, and what could move it next

Yes at 14% on 7 Nov 2026, down 5 pts over the previous 7 days. 2 big jumps since 16 Oct 2026, listed below.

Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.

Context

This prediction market asks whether Anna Kelly will be chosen as the next White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia. It resolves based on official White House announcements or credible reporting by December 31, 2027, excluding acting or interim appointments.

Recent news reports indicate that President Donald Trump publicly offered the White House press secretary role to UFC CEO Dana White, prompting widespread media coverage and speculation about potential candidates.

Key factors include the December 31, 2027 deadline and official announcements from the White House or Donald Trump, which will serve as the primary resolution sources.

Sources: Kalshi News: Dana White as White House press secretary? Traders price his chances at 14%, USA Today: Trump says UFC President Dana White offered job as WH press secretary, TheGrio: Trump offers UFC boss Dana White White House press secretary job, but is he serious?, Reuters: Trump says he wants UFC chief Dana White for White House press secretary, Breakingthenews.net: White said to decline Trump's WH press secretary offer, The Jerusalem Post: 'Please take the job': Trump offers UFC CEO Dana White position of White House Press Secretary, Us Weekly: President Donald Trump Begs UFC’s Dana White to Be the Next Press Secretary: ‘Please Take the Job!’, inkl: 'On to the Next Chapter': Dana White Teases Press Secretary Job After Donald Trump's Public Plea, NewsNation: Trump offers White House press secretary job to UFC CEO Dana White, CBS News: Trump says he offered UFC CEO Dana White the White House press secretary role, France 24: Trump taps UFC boss as press secretary, urges criminal probes into Democrats, The Washington Post: Trump says he offered White House press secretary role to UFC’s Dana White, The Sporting Base: Dana White Offered White House Press Secretary Job by Trump, USA Today: Is Dana White the new White House Press Secretary? Donald Trump offers role, Awful Announcing: CNN, TMZ offer conflicting reports on Dana White’s interest in press secretary job

Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.

What could move it next

  1. Over the coming days

    Dana White's Decision on the Offer

    High impact

    Dana White could publicly accept or decline the White House press secretary offer made by Donald Trump. A definitive acceptance by White would decrease Anna Kelly's chances, while a rejection would likely increase them.

    Source: USA Today: Trump says UFC President Dana White offered job as WH press secretary, Breakingthenews.net: White said to decline Trump's WH press secretary offer, inkl: 'On to the Next Chapter': Dana White Teases Press Secretary Job After Donald Trump's Public Plea, Awful Announcing: CNN, TMZ offer conflicting reports on Dana White’s interest in press secretary job

  2. Any time before market close

    Official White House Announcement

    High impact

    The White House could issue an official announcement naming Katie Zacharia's permanent replacement. If Anna Kelly is named, the market resolves to Yes; if another candidate is chosen, it resolves to No or Other.

Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.

Price jumps explained

  1. 26 Oct 2026

    Anna Kelly Stock Falls Amid Nicki Minaj Rumors

    26% → 18%Likely cause

    The price for Anna Kelly decreased after reports emerged that Trump and his team floated Nicki Minaj for the White House press secretary role. This sparked widespread speculation and media coverage regarding alternative contenders for the position.

    Sources: Advocate.com: Trump’s team pitches Nicki Minaj for the White House press secretary gig he just fired Katie Zacharia from, People.com: Trump Compliments Nicki Minaj’s ‘Beautiful Ass’ as White House Teases Her as Next Press Secretary, Mixmag: Nicki Minaj responds to White House Press Secretary rumours, Out Magazine: Nicki Minaj floated as Trump's next press secretary. Now, the internet thinks she's a loser, Firstpost: Nicki Minaj to be next White House press secretary? How a social media post fuelled the buzz, The Source Magazine: Nicki Minaj Floated as the Next White House Press Secretary, Benzinga: Karoline Leavitt, Katie Zacharia and Who's in Line? Prediction Market Bets on This Name for Trump's Next, WION: Nicki Minaj as next White House Press Secretary? Rapper sparks speculation after sharing inside glimpse of Air Force One, Fox News: Trump isn't done overhauling the White House — and his next move could hit the media where it works, HuffPost: Trump World Floats Nicki Minaj For Press Secretary, And One MAGA Enemy Is All For It, HuffPost: White House Official Floats Naming Nicki Minaj As The Next WHAT Now?!?, Star 106.3: Could Nicki Minaj really be the next White House Press Secretary?, nationalenquirer.com: Gavin Newsom Reacts to Rumors Nicki Minaj Could Take on White House Press Secretary Gig, LADbible: Donald Trump responds to Nicki Minaj being teased as next press secretary by commenting on her body

    After 24 h: held. After 7 days: held.

  2. 16 Oct 2026

    Drop in Anna Kelly's Press Secretary Odds

    34% → 16%Likely cause

    Following news that White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia is leaving her position after just five days, speculation has grown regarding who will replace her. Multiple articles discuss various surprise favorites and other contenders emerging for the role, which likely caused Anna Kelly's chances to decline as competition expanded.

    Sources: The Daily Beast: Surprise Favorites Emerge to Replace Fired MAGA Mouthpiece Katie Zacharia, Newsweek: Who Could Replace Katie Zacharia? Laura Loomer Eyes White House Role, Kalshi News: White House press secretary odds: who could replace Katie Zacharia?, Yahoo: Who Could Be Trump's Next White House Press Secretary Speculation Swirls

    After 24 h: held. After 7 days: partly reverted.

Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.

Other markets in “Next Press Secretary?”

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary”?

On 7 Nov 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 14%, which means they saw about a 14 in 100 chance. That was down 5 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.

Why did the odds move recently?

The latest explained move was on 26 Oct 2026, from 26% to 18%: Anna Kelly Stock Falls Amid Nicki Minaj Rumors. The price for Anna Kelly decreased after reports emerged that Trump and his team floated Nicki Minaj for the White House press secretary role. This sparked widespread speculation and media coverage regarding alternative contenders for the position. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 2).

What could change the odds next?

Coming up: Dana White's Decision on the Offer; Official White House Announcement. Details are under “What could move it next”.

Do big jumps in this market usually hold?

Of the 2 big jumps old enough to check, both held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move).

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.

When does this market end?

Polymarket lists 1 Jan 2028 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.

Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?

No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.

How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.