Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Yes at 1% on 30 Oct 2026, up 1 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether Anthropic's initial public offering will occur in October 2026. It will resolve based on the calendar month in the Eastern Time zone when Anthropic shares officially begin regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
Recent reports indicate that Anthropic has published its IPO prospectus, detailing its financial figures and risk disclosures. Analysts and media outlets have begun discussing the company's valuation, potential risks, and market expectations.
Articles mention that Anthropic plans its IPO marketing launch for the week of November 9, with discussions surrounding its valuation and disclosures.
Sources: Bloomberg Law News: Anthropic IPO Disclosure of ‘Existential’ AI Risk Sets Standard, Forbes: Anthropic’s IPO Date Could Cost Its Employees A Year Of Tax Life, Haberler.com: Striking warning in the IPO filing from Anthropic, the maker of Claude: AI could pose an existential risk to humanity, KQED: Real Estate, Climate and Wild Parties? Here’s How Anthropic’s IPO Could Affect the Bay Area, The Coin Republic: Anthropic IPO Filing Shows Revenue Surge and $80.7B Net Loss, The Motley Fool: Anthropic IPO: How to Buy Shares and What to Expect on Day 1, RS Web Solutions: Anthropic Plans IPO Marketing Launch Week of November 9, The New York Times: Opinion | The Open Secret Buried in Anthropic’s 300-Page I.P.O. Filing, Yahoo Finance: Can You Invest in Anthropic Before the IPO? Here's the Clear Answer., Yahoo Finance: The Anthropic IPO Will Be an Epic Failure, Based on What History Tells Us, Univest: Anthropic IPO Valuation: Damodaran Says $1.475 Trillion, Yahoo Finance: The Biggest Risk to Anthropic Stock Is the Company Itself, CNBC: The big questions remaining after Anthropic’s blockbuster IPO prospectus, Techloy: Anthropic IPO Date, iPhone Duo Price and iOS 27.2, Acorns: How to Invest in Anthropic: IPO Date and Ticker
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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Price jumps explained
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Other markets in “In which month will Anthropic IPO?”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)”?
On 30 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 1%, which means they saw about a 1 in 100 chance. That was up 1 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 1 Jan 2028 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.