Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes at 0% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Representative Byron Donalds will win and accept the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. The market resolves to "Yes" if he secures the nomination according to official Republican Party sources, and "No" otherwise.
Early polling and political activities for the 2028 presidential race are already underway. Recent reports highlight Byron Donalds campaigning in Florida, with plans for fellow Florida Republican Ron DeSantis to join him on the campaign trail.
Sources: Tallahassee Democrat: 'Florida is red': In blue Tallahassee, Byron Donalds seeks votes, Florida Politics: Ron DeSantis to join Byron Donalds on campaign trail
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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8 Nov 2028
Market Resolution
The market will resolve to Yes if Byron Donalds wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as determined by official party sources.
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Upcoming campaign events
DeSantis Campaign Support
Ron DeSantis is scheduled to join Byron Donalds on the campaign trail, which could influence Donalds' standing among Republican voters.
Source: Florida Politics: Ron DeSantis to join Byron Donalds on campaign trail
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Ongoing
Florida Political Activity
Byron Donalds continues to seek support in Florida, a key state for his political profile and potential primary performance.
Source: Tallahassee Democrat: 'Florida is red': In blue Tallahassee, Byron Donalds seeks votes
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Ongoing
Republican Primary Developments
Shifts in Republican leadership and voter sentiment, as highlighted by recent polling and primary results, may impact the competitiveness of the 2028 nomination race.
Source: USA Today: New 2028 poll shows wide-open Democratic primary, clear GOP favorite, ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos: Trump helps oust Massie and other takeaways from Tuesday's primaries, Deseret News: Who will replace Trump in 2028? New polling shows both parties facing leadership uncertainty
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Market Resolution (8 Nov 2028); DeSantis Campaign Support; Florida Political Activity. Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 8 Nov 2028 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.