Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
3 big jumps since 23 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
We haven’t written context for this market yet.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
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25 Oct 2026
Dejan Šoškić Market Drops After Serbian Election
The price for Dejan Šoškić dropped significantly following parliamentary elections in Serbia. Coverage around the election details a defeat for the ruling party and a concession by the former leader Aleksandar Vucic, but does not explicitly mention Dejan Šoškić.
Sources: The New York Times: What to Know as Serbia Votes for a New Parliament, South China Morning Post: Serbia votes as ruling party faces student-led anti-corruption list, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: Vucic Concedes Defeat In Pivotal Serbian Parliamentary Election, The Jerusalem Post: Can former Serbian president Aleksandar Vucic secure new mandate in elections?, San Luis Obispo Tribune: Factbox-Serbia election: Main players, voter concerns and what is at stake
After 24 h: reverted. After 7 days: too early.
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25 Oct 2026
Serbia Holds Parliamentary Elections
Serbia held a historic election as the ruling party faced a student-led anti-corruption movement. The vote and subsequent election coverage drove increased attention to potential outcomes for the next government.
Sources: Reuters: Serbia's Vucic concedes defeat in historic election win for student protest movement, The New York Times: What to Know as Serbia Votes for a New Parliament, South China Morning Post: Serbia votes as ruling party faces student-led anti-corruption list
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: too early.
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23 Oct 2026
Jump detected
Not explained yet. The write-up is added automatically, usually within a few hours.
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: too early.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Questions about this market
Why did the odds move recently?
The latest explained move was on 25 Oct 2026, from 36% to 13%: Dejan Šoškić Market Drops After Serbian Election. The price for Dejan Šoškić dropped significantly following parliamentary elections in Serbia. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 3).
Do big jumps in this market usually hold?
Of the 3 big jumps old enough to check, 2 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.