Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes at 0% on 29 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Jimmie Akesson will be the next Prime Minister of Sweden following the parliamentary elections held on September 13, 2026. The market resolves to the individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as prime minister by June 30, 2027.
Following recent political gridlock and failed coalition talks, the parliamentary speaker has picked the Center Party leader as the next prime minister candidate. The Swedish parliament is scheduled to vote on November 3, 2026, to decide on the nomination.
The ongoing government formation process involves key figures such as the Center Party leader, who faces an upcoming parliamentary vote amidst ongoing political negotiations and a caretaker budget.
Sources: Reuters: Sweden's Centre leader hands task of forming government back to parliament speaker, France 24: Swedish Centre Party leader says government coalition talks failed, The Local Sweden: Swedish finance minister prepares caretaker budget stripped of campaign promises, The Local Sweden: Swedish parliamentary speaker picks Centre Party leader as next PM candidate, Reuters: Swedish parliament to vote on Centre Party leader as prime minister despite gridlock, Bangladesh Sangbad Sangstha (BSS): Sweden MPs to vote next week on whether to make Centre Party leader PM: speaker jll/giv, Anadolu Ajansı: Sweden's Center Party leader nominated for prime minister as political deadlock continues, blue News: Sweden Still Without a New Government: Here's What Happens Next, Слободен печат: The Swedish parliament has now turned its attention to Elisabeth Tand Ringqvist of the Center Party, who will vote on November 3 to become the new prime minister.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.