Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes at 0% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether Kuo Hsi will win the upcoming Taipei Mayor election scheduled for November 28, 2026. The market will resolve based on the official winner of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting or the Taiwanese Central Election Commission, with interim mayors excluded.
As the election enters its final stretch following the recent ballot number draw, candidates are actively campaigning and opening campaign headquarters. Meanwhile, recent reports have highlighted discussions surrounding campaign strategies, policy proposals, and warnings from US think tanks regarding alleged foreign interference targeting candidates in the race.
Sources: Taipei Times: US think tank report highlights Chinese interference in Taipei race, Taipei Times: 2026 Elections: Shen launches ‘policy island’ as Chiang rallies allies, Focus Taiwan: 2026 ELECTIONS KMT's Chiang touts mayoral record at Taipei campaign HQ opening event, Taiwan News: Taipei mayor opens campaign headquarters, Taipei Times: 2026 Elections: KMT supporters mobilizing quietly, lawmaker says, Taipei Times: 2026 Elections: Shen’s campaign turning into movement: DPP insider, Vision Times: US Think Tanks Warn Beijing May Be Targeting Puma Shen to Influence Taipei Election, UA.NEWS: Source says China is trying to isolate Taipei mayoral candidate — Taipei Times, 联合早报: Taipei mayor takes veiled swipe at Puma Shen, says substance beats showmanship, Taiwan News: Taipei mayoral candidates draw ballot numbers, Focus Taiwan: 2026 ELECTIONS Ballot number draw kicks off final stretch of Taiwan's local races, Taipei Times: 2026 Elections: China trying to isolate Puma Shen: source, The Straits Times: Can KMT’s Chiang Wan-an rally supporters in tight mayor race to defend his Taipei seat?, Mothership: Mayoral candidate in Taiwan proposes legalising polygamy to tackle low fertility rate
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 29 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).