Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes at 0% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether basketball star LeBron James will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. It will resolve based on the official winner of the election scheduled for November 7, 2028, once major news outlets agree on the outcome or an inauguration takes place.
Recent headlines highlight an ongoing public feud between President Donald Trump and LeBron James, with various sports analysts and commentators weighing in on the remarks. Meanwhile, political figures and commentators are already discussing potential contenders and strategies ahead of the 2028 election cycle.
Sources: Yahoo Sports: LeBron James Has A SHOCKING Response To Donald Trump’s Comments, Yahoo Sports: ‘Don’t listen to the president on this one’: Stephen A. Smith calls out Donald Trump’s vendetta with LeBron James, The Killeen Daily Herald: AOC can draw a crowd. The midterms will test whether her politics can win before 2028, Yahoo Sports: ‘I don’t think LeBron’s a total disgrace’: Skip Bayless defends LeBron James from President Trump, Basketball Network: Stephen A. Smith says Donald Trump's attack on LeBron is calculated, EURweb: Trump Wants an Apology from LeBron? America Deserves One from Its President!, Wonderwall: Donald Trump reignites feud with LeBron James over national anthem issue: 'Total disgrace,' president says
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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8 Nov 2028
Market Closing
The market will close on November 8, 2028, following the presidential election scheduled for November 7, 2028.
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Ongoing
Public Feud Between LeBron James and President Trump
Continued public exchanges between LeBron James and President Trump regarding national anthem protests and personal criticisms could influence public perception of James's political viability.
Source: Basketball Network: Stephen A. Smith says Donald Trump's attack on LeBron is calculated, EURweb: Trump Wants an Apology from LeBron? America Deserves One from Its President!, Opposing Views: LeBron James Has Just Three Words for Trump After National Anthem Criticism, Yahoo Sports: Donald Trump’s criticism of LeBron James draws a sharp response from Stephen A. Smith, Wonderwall: Donald Trump reignites feud with LeBron James over national anthem issue: 'Total disgrace,' president says, BlackNews.com: LeBron James Brushes Off Trump’s Demand for an Apology Over National Anthem Criticism
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Ongoing
Formal Political Entry
Any official announcement or concrete steps taken by LeBron James toward a presidential candidacy would significantly impact the market's assessment of his chances.
Source: Facebook: Why are the Democrats calling their LeBron James if things are going so well in Michigan?
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Market Closing (8 Nov 2028); Public Feud Between LeBron James and President Trump; Formal Political Entry. Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 8 Nov 2028 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.