Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes at 74% on 29 Oct 2026, down 3 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether Magdalena Andersson will become the next Prime Minister of Sweden following the parliamentary elections held on September 13, 2026. The market resolves to the first individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister based on official government information or credible reporting.
Government formation in Sweden has faced a deadlock following the election, with ongoing challenges in building a governing coalition. However, recent developments show that the parliamentary speaker has nominated the Centre Party leader as the next prime minister candidate, with a parliamentary vote scheduled for next week.
Sources: Social News XYZ: Sweden’s gov’t formation remains deadlocked as centrist coalition bid fails, The Local Sweden: Swedish parliamentary speaker picks Centre Party leader as next PM candidate, Reuters: Swedish parliament to vote on Centre Party leader as prime minister despite gridlock, Bangladesh Sangbad Sangstha (BSS): Sweden MPs to vote next week on whether to make Centre Party leader PM: speaker jll/giv, Anadolu Ajansı: Sweden's Center Party leader nominated for prime minister as political deadlock continues, blue News: Sweden Still Without a New Government: Here's What Happens Next, Слободен печат: The Swedish parliament has now turned its attention to Elisabeth Tand Ringqvist of the Center Party, who will vote on November 3 to become the new prime minister.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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Price jumps explained
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Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 74%, which means they saw about a 74 in 100 chance. That was down 3 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
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No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.