Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes at 3% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Steve Hilton will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election. It resolves based on the official outcome, relying on calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification if those sources do not agree.
As the race enters its final week before the November 3 election, recent polls indicate that Xavier Becerra maintains a wide and significant lead over Steve Hilton. Both candidates are making their final-minute pitches and campaign blitzes to California voters.
Key campaign proposals from Steve Hilton include abolishing the DMV and lowering gas prices and taxes, while voters are weighing candidates on issues such as high-speed rail and electric vehicles.
Sources: The Desert Sun: Poll shows Becerra maintaining wide lead in California governor's race, The Desert Sun: New poll shows Becerra maintaining wide lead in California's governor race, HotAir: Steve Hilton Drops a Banger of a Commercial in California Hail Mary, New York Post: Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra make last-minute pitches to California voters as gov contest enters home stretch, Sacramento Bee: Becerra plays it safe, Hilton keeps up blitz as governor’s race hits final week, ie community news: Gubernatorial Candidate Steve Hilton Vows to Abolish the DMV, Lower Gas Prices and Taxes at Colton Town Hall, SSBCrack: Becerra Maintains Significant Lead Over Hilton in California Gubernatorial Race, Los Angeles Times: Your last-minute guide to California governor candidates’ views on gas prices, EVs and high-speed rail
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 3%, which means they saw about a 3 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.