Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?
Yes at 65% on 31 Oct 2026, down 1 pts over the previous 7 days. 4 big jumps since 9 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
This prediction market asks whether STRC will reach a "High" value of at least $100 on any one-minute TradingView candle before 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026. If it does, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No."
Recent reports show STRC nearing the $100 threshold as Strategy Inc. implements a new daily preferred dividend framework to reduce preferred share volatility and support renewed bitcoin purchasing. Meanwhile, Strategy posted a record Q3 profit of $19.5 billion driven by bitcoin fair-value gains, though STRC recently sank 11% in a week amid a CFO exit and broader market headwinds.
Sources: Pluang: STRC nears $100, hinting Strategy may resume Bi..., KuCoin: Strategy Posts $19.5B Q3 Profit on Bitcoin Fair-Value Gain, Approves Daily Dividends, Crypto Economy: Strategy Moves STRC to Daily Dividends to Reduce Preferred Share Volatility, TIKR.com: Strategy Sinks 11% in a Week on Binance Hack, CFO Exit: “Returning STRC to Health”
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
-
28 Oct 2026
Strategy Shareholders Approve Daily Dividends for STRC
The chance of STRC hitting $100 increased after Strategy shareholders approved daily dividends for four preferred stocks and securities, including STRC. Additionally, high-profile social media engagement and rising deposits contributed to the growing market interest as the stock nears $100.
Sources: TradingView: Strategy shareholders approve daily dividends for four preferred stocks, Crypto Briefing: Pendle STRCx deposits hit record $50.4 million on Ethereum, TOKENPOST: Strategy Shareholders Approve Daily Dividends for Four Securities, TOKENPOST: Michael Saylor Amplifies X Post Centered on Strategy’s STRC, Cointribune: Strategy hits hard: Daily dividends for STRC approved, the stock nears $100
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: too early.
-
26 Oct 2026
Strategy's STRC Buybacks Boost Market Odds
The likelihood of STRC reaching $100 rose after reports emerged that Strategy paused its Bitcoin purchases to spend over $204 million on STRC stock buybacks. This major capital allocation provided strong upward momentum for the shares during the hour.
Sources: TradingView: Strategy skips Bitcoin purchases, spends $205M on STRC buybacks, CoinGape: MSTR Stock Falls as Strategy Pauses Bitcoin Purchases & Buys Back $205M in STRC Shares, KuCoin: Strategy Capital Allocates $205M to STRC Buybacks, Pauses Bitcoin Activity, Investing.com India: Strategy pauses bitcoin purchases, repurchases $204.9M in STRC stock By Investing.com
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: too early.
-
16 Oct 2026
Strategy Stock Falls Amid MSCI Exclusion Fears
The chance of STRC hitting $100 decreased after news emerged that Strategy stock fell due to an MSCI index exclusion that threatens passive investments. This decline followed earlier analysis showing the stock remaining near $99.53 without movement.
Sources: https://www.siam.in/: Strategy (STRC) Stock Analysis: No Movement at $99.53 — What It Means 2026-10-16 - BPI Bear Confirmed, Invezz: Strategy stock (MSTR) falls as MSCI index exclusion threatens passive investments
After 24 h: partly reverted. After 7 days: held.
-
9 Oct 2026
STRC Prediction Market Probability Rises
The chance of the market resolving to yes increased as various financial news articles were published regarding stock price predictions and market trends. However, none of the provided articles explicitly mention STRC hitting $100 or directly explain the specific price jump.
After 24 h: reverted. After 7 days: reverted.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Other markets in “STRC hits $100 by…”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will STRC hit $100 by November 30”?
On 31 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 65%, which means they saw about a 65 in 100 chance. That was down 1 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
Why did the odds move recently?
The latest explained move was on 28 Oct 2026, from 63% to 81%: Strategy Shareholders Approve Daily Dividends for STRC. The chance of STRC hitting $100 increased after Strategy shareholders approved daily dividends for four preferred stocks and securities, including STRC. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 4).
Do big jumps in this market usually hold?
Of the 4 big jumps old enough to check, 2 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 1 Dec 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, on the listed date at 11:59 PM ET, price data is unavailable from TradingView for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and MarketWatch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.