Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?
Yes at 32% on 29 Oct 2026, up 17 pts over the previous 7 days. 4 big jumps since 9 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
This prediction market asks whether STRC will hit a high of $100 or more by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to "Yes" if any TradingView one-minute candle for STRC shows a high of at least $100 before the deadline, using alternative financial sources if necessary.
Recently, Strategy announced it was pausing bitcoin purchases and repurchasing $204.9 million of STRC preferred stock. Shareholders subsequently approved daily dividends on preferred stocks like STRC, causing the stock to near $100 and approach its par value.
Key factors include Michael Saylor holding 33% of the vote and needing additional support for the dividend structure, alongside the October 31 deadline for the stock to touch the $100 mark.
Sources: NewsCord: Strategy Pauses Bitcoin Purchases, Repurchases $204.9 Million of STRC Preferred Stock: 6 outlets compared, Investing.com: Strategy pauses bitcoin purchases, repurchases $204.9M in STRC stock, CoinMarketCap: STRC Hits $100 Par Value, Giving Strategy Room To Buy Bitcoin, Bitcoin News: Saylor Has 33% of the Vote and Needs 17% More for STRC Daily Dividends, Bitcoin Magazine: Strategy (MSTR) Shareholders Approve Daily Dividends On Four Preferred Stocks, Cointribune: Strategy hits hard: Daily dividends for STRC approved, the stock nears $100, Crypto Briefing: Strategy shares hit 5-month high; Saylor eyes Bitcoin buys at $100 mark, investingLive: Strategy's bitcoin buying hinges on one number: STRC at $100
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
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16 Oct 2026
STRC Price Drops Below $100 Amid Dividend News
The chance of STRC hitting $100 dropped after news that the stock had no movement at $99.53. Articles from earlier in the day and around the time of the shift discussed conditional daily dividends for November.
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: held.
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13 Oct 2026
STRC Nears $100 Amid Buybacks and Insider Selling
The price of STRC neared $100 as the company's buybacks continued. Additionally, a company director sold 1,400 shares of the stock.
Sources: Pluang: Strategy's STRC stock nears $100 as buybacks ou..., MarketBeat: Strategy Inc Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock (NASDAQ:STRC) Director Jarrod Patten Sells 1,400 Shares of Stock
After 24 h: partly reverted. After 7 days: held.
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12 Oct 2026
STRC Stock Price Jumps to $100
The chance of STRC hitting $100 increased significantly following reports that the stock reached this milestone. Articles noted that Strategy repurchased nearly $192 million in stock and retired a large number of shares.
Sources: Cryptopolitan: Strategy spends nearly $192.4M buying back STRC, 9x more than $21.5M BTC purchase, Pluang: STRC hits $100 as Strategy buys 250 BTC and rep..., Bitcoin News: Strategy Buys More Bitcoin and Retires Nearly 2M STRC Shares
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: reverted.
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9 Oct 2026
STRC Prediction Market Moves
The price jumped between 2026-10-09 16:00 and 18:00 UTC. None of the provided articles explain this specific movement during that timeframe. Therefore, no matching news was found.
After 24 h: held. After 7 days: partly reverted.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will STRC hit $100 by October 31”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 32%, which means they saw about a 32 in 100 chance. That was up 17 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
Why did the odds move recently?
The latest explained move was on 16 Oct 2026, from 62% to 32%: STRC Price Drops Below $100 Amid Dividend News. The chance of STRC hitting $100 dropped after news that the stock had no movement at $99.53. Articles from earlier in the day and around the time of the shift discussed conditional daily dividends for November. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 4).
Do big jumps in this market usually hold?
Of the 4 big jumps old enough to check, 3 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 1 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, on the listed date at 11:59 PM ET, price data is unavailable from TradingView for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and MarketWatch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.