Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?
Yes at 83% on 29 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. 1 big jump since 17 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
This market asks whether the Democratic Party will win the U.S. House seat for North Carolina's 11th Congressional District in the 2026 midterm elections. It will resolve based on the party affiliation of the winning candidate according to a consensus of credible reporting or official results from the Federal Election Commission.
As Election Day on November 3, 2026, approaches, local campaigns and political action committees are making their final pushes and adjusting advertising spending across North Carolina.
The general election for NC-11 features candidates Jamie Ager and Jennifer Balkcom, whose questionnaires have been published as voters weigh key issues and local developments.
Sources: The Avery Journal-Times: NC-11 congressional general election questionnaire: Jamie Ager and Jennifer Balkcom, WLOS: PACs cancel millions in TV ads for North Carolina races as Election Day approaches, WLOS: Buncombe County parties make final push ahead of Election Day
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
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17 Oct 2026
Jump detected
Not explained yet. The write-up is added automatically, usually within a few hours.
After 24 h: reverted. After 7 days: held.
Other markets in “NC-11 House Election Winner”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 83%, which means they saw about a 83 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
Do big jumps in this market usually hold?
Of the 1 big jump old enough to check, 0 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).