Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Yes at 43% on 31 Oct 2026, up 22 pts over the previous 7 days. 2 big jumps since 25 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Democratic Party will win the U.S. House of Representatives seat for North Carolina's 13th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. The market resolves based on the official party affiliation of the winning candidate, determined by consensus reporting or official Federal Election Commission results.
As the midterm elections approach, overall campaign spending and questions about when election results will be finalized are drawing attention. Media coverage is ramping up for various congressional races across North Carolina and the United States.
The midterm elections are scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, with the market closing on November 4, 2026.
Sources: 13newsnow.com: When will we know who won the midterms?, USAFacts: How much are candidates spending for the 2026 midterm?, NBC News: North Carolina Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
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31 Oct 2026
Jump detected
Not explained yet. The write-up is added automatically, usually within a few hours.
After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.
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25 Oct 2026
NC-13 House Seat Market Move
The prediction market for the Democratic Party winning the NC-13 House seat experienced a price movement between 2026-10-25 07:00 and 2026-10-25 12:00 UTC. However, none of the published articles from that timeframe provide a plausible explanation for this specific shift. No matching news directly addressing the NC-13 district was found in the provided sources.
After 24 h: partly reverted. After 7 days: too early.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Other markets in “NC-13 House Election Winner”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat”?
On 31 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 43%, which means they saw about a 43 in 100 chance. That was up 22 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
Why did the odds move recently?
The latest explained move was on 25 Oct 2026, from 22% to 44%: NC-13 House Seat Market Move. The prediction market for the Democratic Party winning the NC-13 House seat experienced a price movement between 2026-10-25 07:00 and 2026-10-25 12:00 UTC. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 1).
Do big jumps in this market usually hold?
Of the 1 big jump old enough to check, 0 held after 24 hours (kept at least 70% of the move). The rest partly or fully reverted.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).