Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes at 11% on 1 Nov 2026, down 1 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Democratic candidate will win the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Mississippi. The market will resolve based on calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or via official certification if those outlets do not all agree.
As voters prepare to head to the polls on November 3, 2026, the Mississippi Senate race has drawn national attention, featuring high-profile campaign events and late-stage advertising from Democratic challenger Scott Colom.
Key figures in the race include Democratic candidate Scott Colom, who is attempting an upset in the historically Republican state, with former President Donald Trump recently holding rallies in support of the GOP challenges.
Sources: CNN: Democratic Senate candidate Scott Colom aiming for historic upset in Mississippi, WHEC.com: The Latest: Trump rallies in Mississippi as GOP midterm challenges mount, Mississippi Free Press: All Mississippi Polling Places for the 2026 Midterm Elections, The Hill: Scott Colom releases ‘Sinners’-themed campaign ad as Mississippi Senate race heats up, The Clarion-Ledger: Mississippi election 2026: What to know before voting on Nov. 3, Tippah News: Mississippians to vote Nov. 3; U.S. Senate and all four U.S. House seats on the ballot, WLOX: Mississippi Senate race brings national spotlight to the state, NBC News: Mississippi Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Other markets in “Mississippi Senate Election Winner”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026”?
On 1 Nov 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 11%, which means they saw about a 11 in 100 chance. That was down 1 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.