Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Yes at 0% on 2 Nov 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether the Democratic candidate will win the 2026 Montana U.S. Senate election. The market will resolve based on the official winner called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or through official certification.
As the election approaches on November 4, 2026, voter turnout in Montana is reported to be on pace with the 2022 midterm elections.
The contest features candidates such as Seth Bodnar, Kurt Alme, and Alani Bankhead in a race that has drawn attention from recent polling and local news coverage.
Sources: Daily Montanan: Mountain State Poll shows close race for federal office, KTVH: Montana voter turnout on pace with 2022 election, behind 2024, Nacionale: Montana Senate race: Kurt Alme, Seth Bodnar and Alani Bankhead split a contest reshaped by a filing-day switch, NBC News: Montana Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Other markets in “Montana Senate Election Winner”
- Kurt Alme (R) 92%
- Independent9%
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026”?
On 2 Nov 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.