Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes at 82% on 29 Oct 2026, down 1 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Democratic candidate will win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. The market resolves based on the official winner as determined by calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or ultimately by official certification.
As Election Day approaches, early voting in Ohio is nearing record levels. Recent polls and news coverage highlight a competitive race between Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democratic candidate Amy Acton, with Acton recently responding to campaign ad controversies at rallies and interviews.
The election takes place against the backdrop of high-stakes campaigning, including attention on key Ohio counties and controversies surrounding campaign advertisements. The market closes on November 4, 2026.
Sources: Cleveland 19 News: High stakes in Ohio governor race: Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Amy Acton, Massillon Independent: Trump returns to Ohio as Ramaswamy faces backlash over ad, The Columbus Dispatch: New poll shows Ramaswamy's ad of Acton's mother didn't win over voters, INDIA New England News: Vivek Ramaswamy Trails in Ohio Governor’s Race, Challenges Democratic Rival Over Debate Refusal, Cleveland.com: The 3 Ohio counties that could tell you who wins the governor's race — and why each one matters differently, Signal Ohio: Ohio early voting approaches record as election nears, Cincinnati Enquirer: Acton fires back at Ramaswamy ad at Cincinnati rally, Yahoo: Who is Amy Acton, the Ohio gubernatorial candidate at the center of a campaign ad controversy involving her estranged mother?, FOX19 | Cincinnati: Tricia Macke interviews Ohio governor candidate Amy Acton, The Washington Post: Ohio gubernatorial hopeful Amy Acton’s survivor story: ‘I was lucky’
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
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Price jumps explained
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Other markets in “Ohio Governor Election Winner”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 82%, which means they saw about a 82 in 100 chance. That was down 1 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.