Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes at 91% on 29 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether the Republican nominee will win the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election. It resolves based on the official winner called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or through official certification.
As the election approaches, the final stretch of campaigning is underway across Florida. Recent reports show Democratic nominee Angie Nixon and Republican candidates actively pressing their campaigns in major cities like Jacksonville.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. National discussions and forecasts highlight Florida as part of the broader midterm Senate map, with news coverage also focusing on early voting tracking and candidate campaigning.
Sources: Sun Sentinel: Jewish Floridians chew over the pros and cons of Democratic Senate nominee Angie Nixon, Haaretz: Angie Nixon Is Testing Jewish Democrats' Loyalties in Florida, Spectrum News 13: Nixon, Moody take Senate campaigns to Jacksonville, NBC News: Florida Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results, NBC News: Tracking the 2026 Early Vote: Midterm Elections, The Hill: Democrats see battleground map expand to South Carolina, Florida, Mississippi
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Other markets in “Florida Senate Election Winner”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 91%, which means they saw about a 91 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.