Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Yes at 71% on 30 Oct 2026, down 2 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether the Republican candidate will win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. It resolves based on the official winner called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or by official election certification if those sources do not agree.
The race has been rated as a toss-up, with recent polls showing a tight contest in the final days before the election. Meanwhile, national figures like Donald Trump have adjusted their campaign schedules regarding rallies in the state.
The election concludes ahead of the market close on November 4, 2026, with voters participating in advance voting and final campaign pushes underway.
Sources: Kansas City Star: The Kansas governor race is now rated a ‘toss-up.’ Here’s why it may matter the most, - Emerson Polling: October 2026 Kansas Poll: Hamilton Maintains Edge over Marshall in Toss-up Election, Yahoo: Midterm elections live updates: Trump's weekend rallies in Kansas, Iowa are back on, Hays Post: Last day to advance vote Monday: Hays Post voter guide, campaign roundup, The New York Times: Trump Adds Midterm Rallies in Kansas and Iowa After Initially Canceling Events
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Other markets in “Kansas Governor Election Winner”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026”?
On 30 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 71%, which means they saw about a 71 in 100 chance. That was down 2 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.