Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes at 72% on 28 Oct 2026, down 9 pts over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether the Republican nominee will win the 2026 U.S. Senate race in South Carolina, inclusive of any run-offs. It will resolve based on the official winner called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or through official certification if those sources do not agree.
As Election Day approaches, recent polls indicate a surprisingly close contest in the heavily Republican state between the Republican nominee and the Democratic challenger, Annie Andrews. Meanwhile, early voting has broken previous South Carolina midterm records.
The election concludes on November 4, 2026. Key factors highlighted in recent coverage include tightening poll numbers and record early voter turnout across the state.
Sources: USA Today: South Carolina poll shows Graham, Andrews neck and neck before Election Day, Post and Courier: Election 2026 Daily: Early voting breaks SC midterm record, GOP leaders beg for unity, NBC News: South Carolina Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results, The New York Times: Heavily Republican South Carolina’s Senate Race Is a Tossup, Poll Finds, WCBD News 2: Two SC polls show different pictures of Graham-Andrews Senate race, Mediaite: NYT Poll Finds Darline Graham ‘Effectively Tied’ With Annie Andrews in Senate Race
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 72%, which means they saw about a 72 in 100 chance. That was down 9 points over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.