Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes at 0% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Tim Walz will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves based on the official winner of the election, using calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or the candidate who is inaugurated on January 20, 2029.
As the country approaches the upcoming midterm elections, prominent national and state figures are actively campaigning and positioning themselves. Recent discussions highlight political strategies, advice within the Democratic Party, and early speculation on potential 2028 presidential contenders.
Key figures mentioned in recent reports include Tim Walz offering advice for the Democratic Party and Kamala Harris responding to critics and campaigning for upcoming races. Other potential 2028 contenders, such as J.D. Vance, are also drawing early attention in political and betting markets ahead of the 2028 election cycle.
Sources: CNN: Kamala Harris responds to her critics and Democrats who don’t want her to run again, 13WMAZ: Kamala Harris to campaign for Jon Ossoff in Macon, just days after Trump's Central Georgia campaign rally, Gambling911.com: J.D. Vance Even Odds Favorite to Be the 2028 Presidential Nominee, Marco Rubio Pays Out $300, Townhall: Tim Walz Has Advice for the Democrat Party, and Here's What It Is, The Daily Wire: Kamala Picked Him To Be Her VP. He Tossed Her Under The Bus.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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3 Nov 2026
2026 Midterm Elections
The outcome of the 2026 midterm elections, including key races in Minnesota, will provide insight into the political landscape and the strength of the Democratic party ahead of the 2028 cycle.
Source: KOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE: Nebraska General Election Guide: Ballot breakdown and final reminders for Nov. 3, ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos: Trump heads to Mississippi as the two parties prepare for final sprint ahead of midterm Election Day, NBC News: Minnesota Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results
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8 Nov 2028
Market Closing
The market will close on November 8, 2028, following the presidential election, and will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate.
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20 Jan 2029
Inauguration Day
If the major news outlets have not reached a consensus on the 2028 election winner by this date, the market will resolve based on the individual who is inaugurated as President.
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Any time before November 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Nomination
Shifts in polling or party support for potential candidates, such as J.D. Vance or Marco Rubio, could impact the perceived likelihood of Tim Walz securing the Democratic nomination and winning the general election.
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Any time before November 8, 2028
Public Statements and Political Strategy
Future public advice or political maneuvers by Tim Walz regarding the Democratic party's direction may influence his standing and viability as a presidential candidate.
Source: Townhall: Tim Walz Has Advice for the Democrat Party, and Here's What It Is, Power Line: Good Advice, They Should Take It
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: 2026 Midterm Elections (3 Nov 2026); Market Closing (8 Nov 2028); Inauguration Day (20 Jan 2029). Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 8 Nov 2028 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.