Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes at 0% on 29 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Tim Walz will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves based on the official winner of the election, using calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or the candidate who is inaugurated on January 20, 2029.
As the country approaches the upcoming midterm elections, prominent national and state figures are actively campaigning and positioning themselves. Recent discussions highlight political strategies, advice within the Democratic Party, and early speculation on potential 2028 presidential contenders.
Key figures mentioned in recent reports include Tim Walz offering advice for the Democratic Party and Kamala Harris responding to critics and campaigning for upcoming races. Other potential 2028 contenders, such as J.D. Vance, are also drawing early attention in political and betting markets ahead of the 2028 election cycle.
Sources: CNN: Kamala Harris responds to her critics and Democrats who don’t want her to run again, 13WMAZ: Kamala Harris to campaign for Jon Ossoff in Macon, just days after Trump's Central Georgia campaign rally, Gambling911.com: J.D. Vance Even Odds Favorite to Be the 2028 Presidential Nominee, Marco Rubio Pays Out $300, Townhall: Tim Walz Has Advice for the Democrat Party, and Here's What It Is, The Daily Wire: Kamala Picked Him To Be Her VP. He Tossed Her Under The Bus.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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3 Nov 2026
Midterm Elections
The upcoming midterm elections and related local races will offer a gauge of political momentum in key states like Minnesota and Georgia, potentially influencing future presidential ambitions.
Source: KOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE: Nebraska General Election Guide: Ballot breakdown and final reminders for Nov. 3, 13WMAZ: Kamala Harris to campaign for Jon Ossoff in Macon, just days after Trump's Central Georgia campaign rally
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Before January 20, 2029
Election Call by Major Outlets
The market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or based on who is inaugurated by January 20, 2029.
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Any time before the 2028 election
Official Campaign Launch
Potential announcements or decisions regarding a 2028 presidential run by Tim Walz or other prospective candidates could shift market sentiment.
Source: Townhall: Tim Walz Has Advice for the Democrat Party, and Here's What It Is, Deseret News: Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly says he’s mulling presidential run. Here’s when he’ll decide
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Other markets in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election”?
On 29 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Midterm Elections (3 Nov 2026); Election Call by Major Outlets; Official Campaign Launch. Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 8 Nov 2028 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.