Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes at 0% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This market asks whether the Together party will win the greatest number of seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. It will resolve based on the official results reported by Israel's Central Election Committee or a consensus of credible reporting, with specific tie-breaking rules if multiple parties win the same number of seats.
Following the election held on October 27, 2026, vote counting is currently underway with no clear winner yet projected. Initial exit polls and early counts show Benjamin Netanyahu's party leading or maintaining strong numbers, while rival blocs and Arab parties also make notable showings as ballots continue to be tallied.
Sources: Daily Mail: No clear winner in Israeli general election: Exit polls predict Netanyahu's party to win most seats but rival bloc 'will be bigger and could still oust him', upi: Israel election count countinues as rival blocs face uncertainty, The Jerusalem Post: Benjamin Netanyahu survives another election, but Israel's divisions remain, Al Jazeera: Israel election results: No clear winner projected, what’s next?, Northeast Times: Israel Election Count: Netanyahu's Bloc Leads With 56 Seats but Lacks a Majority as Counting Continues, The Jerusalem Post: Israeli election polling data: Arab parties soar to 19 seats in next Knesset, The Washington Post: The Latest: As votes are counted, no clear winner emerges in Israel's election, The Jerusalem Post: Shas, UTJ projected to win 14 seats in next Knesset, CEC says after 3.5 million votes counted, The New Arab: Historic gains for Arab parties in Israel election: exit polls, The Jerusalem Post: Yair Golan's Democrats projected to win nine Knesset seats in 2026 Knesset, Al Jazeera: Netanyahu or Eisenkot? Can you form Israel’s next coalition government?, AP News: Israelis await final election results as Netanyahu remains far from defeated, Fox News: Netanyahu defies exit polls as vote shifts in his favor, but majority remains elusive, New York Post: Netanyahu's Likud leads Israeli election count with 27% of vote as ballots continue to be tallied, Haaretz: Analysis • Israel's worst election outcome: No clear winner, no chance for change
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
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28 Oct 2026
Ongoing Vote Count
As ballots continue to be tallied, official updates from the Central Election Committee will clarify which party or coalition has secured the most seats, directly impacting the market's resolution.
Source: New York Post: Netanyahu's Likud leads Israeli election count with 27% of vote as ballots continue to be tallied, AP News: Israelis await final election results as Netanyahu remains far from defeated, The Washington Post: The Latest: As votes are counted, no clear winner emerges in Israel's election
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30 Jun 2027
Market Resolution Deadline
If the election results are not definitively known by this date, the market will resolve to 'Other' per the established rules.
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In the coming days
Final Seat Allocation
The final distribution of seats among parties, including the performance of Arab parties and the RZP, will determine if 'Together' achieves the highest seat count required for a 'Yes' resolution.
Source: The New Arab: Historic gains for Arab parties in Israel election: exit polls, The Jerusalem Post: Israeli election polling data: Arab parties rise to 17 seats in next Knesset, The Jerusalem Post: Israel Election 2026: Itamar Ben-Gvir, RZP projected to win 13 seats in next Knesset, The Jerusalem Post: Yair Golan's Democrats projected to win eight Knesset seats in 2026
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Following the final count
Coalition Formation Negotiations
While the market resolves based on seat count, ongoing reports regarding the ability of Netanyahu or Eisenkot to form a government may provide context on the stability and finality of the reported seat totals.
Source: Al Jazeera: Netanyahu or Eisenkot? Can you form Israel’s next coalition government?, Le Monde.fr: Israeli elections: Netanyahu and opposition both fall short of a majority, Haaretz: Analysis • Israel's worst election outcome: No clear winner, no chance for change, The Jerusalem Post: Gadi Eisenkot declares victory as bloc takes lead over Netanyahu's, despite deadlock, Jewish Telegraphic Agency: Israel’s election deadlock: 3 scenarios for what comes next
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Ongoing Vote Count (28 Oct 2026); Market Resolution Deadline (30 Jun 2027); Final Seat Allocation. Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 28 Oct 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.