Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes at 0% on 28 Oct 2026, unchanged over the previous 7 days. No big jumps detected yet.
Data from Polymarket.
Context
This prediction market asks whether Tom Steyer will win the 2026 California Governor Election. The market resolves based on the official outcome of the election scheduled for November 3, 2026, using consensus calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification if those sources do not agree.
Recent news mentions Tom Steyer speaking at Campbell Hall and issuing political endorsements in congressional races, while other polling highlights different leading candidates in the wide gubernatorial race.
The election takes place on November 3, 2026, with market resolution dependent on official calls and certification no later than July 31, 2027.
Sources: KTLA: New poll shows Becerra with wide lead over Hilton in California governor race, The Hill: Becerra holds 27-point lead over Hilton in California governor’s race: Poll, The Daily Nexus: Billionaire Tom Steyer speaks at Campbell Hall, Mission Local: Election Extra! Dueling congressional endorsements from Tom Steyer and Robert Reich
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
What could move it next
No upcoming events listed for this market yet.
Price jumps explained
No jumps detected for this market yet.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026”?
On 28 Oct 2026, Polymarket traders priced Yes at 0%, which means they saw about a 0 in 100 chance. That was unchanged over the previous 7 days. The live price is shown in the chart at the top of this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
When does this market end?
Polymarket lists 4 Nov 2026 as the end date. It can settle earlier or later if the rules say so, for example when an official result comes in.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.