Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?
3 big jumps since 27 Oct 2026, listed below.
Data from Polymarket. Numbered dots are the jumps explained below.
Context
We haven’t written context for this market yet.
What could move it next
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Following the event
Audio and Video Review
Review of the official audio and video footage from the Lubbock rally will determine whether Trump spoke the phrase 'Two Percent', directly deciding the outcome of the market.
Source: News Radio 1200 WOAI: President Trump Caps Off Texas Rally Two-Step In Lubbock, International Business Times UK: 'I Love the Meat!' Trump Mocks James Talarico With Barbecue Impression at Texas Rally, Lubbock Lights: Trump packs Lubbock’s Civic Center as two sisters find a community in the crowd
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Price jumps explained
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28 Oct 2026
Jump detected
Not explained yet. The write-up is added automatically, usually within a few hours.
After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.
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28 Oct 2026
Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas
The prediction market odds shifted after Donald Trump held his scheduled midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas. News outlets reported extensively on his appearance and remarks during the event.
Sources: KLBK | KAMC | EverythingLubbock.com: President Trump, Ken Paxton hold midterm rally in Lubbock, newswest9.com: Trump rallies in Lubbock in last campaign push ahead of Midterm elections, News Radio 1200 WOAI: President Trump Caps Off Texas Rally Two-Step In Lubbock, Announces New Energy Policy, KCBD: President Trump endorsees Texas candidates at Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal: Trump rallies 'red wall' for GOP candidates in Lubbock, West Texas
After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.
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27 Oct 2026
Trump Rally in Lubbock, Texas
The chance of the market resolving to yes increased as media outlets began reporting on Donald Trump's upcoming appearance in Texas. Articles noted that Trump was holding a midterm rally in Lubbock on the same day.
Sources: KCBD: Lubbock City Council cancels scheduled meeting, The Hill: Trump doubles down in Texas, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal: Is Lubbock a battleground? Why Trump and Talarico are visiting the same day, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal: Lubbock City Council cancels meeting ahead of President Trump visit, New York Daily News: Trump and Talarico hold dueling rallies in deep-red Texas city
After 24 h: too early. After 7 days: too early.
Written by AI from the linked news sources and checked automatically, not by a person.
Questions about this market
Why did the odds move recently?
The latest explained move was on 28 Oct 2026, from 30% to 92%: Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas. The prediction market odds shifted after Donald Trump held his scheduled midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas. News outlets reported extensively on his appearance and remarks during the event. Every big move is listed under “Price jumps explained” (this one is number 2).
What could change the odds next?
Coming up: Audio and Video Review. Details are under “What could move it next”.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The full Polymarket rules are at the bottom of this page.
Can I bet on this market on predictionwave?
No. predictionwave only explains the odds. The market itself runs on Polymarket, and trading there is not allowed in every country.
How this market resolves (Polymarket rules)
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-lubbock-texas-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf